Qaybta dhoofinta aluminiumku waa mid deggan, oo ku urursan Vietnam iyo Maraykanka

Iyada oo ay saamaysay siyaasadda dib-u-celinta cashuuraha dhoofinta, wax-soo-saarka dalkayga ee alaabooyinka aluminiumku waxay u badan yihiin aluminium, kuwaas oo si gaar ah loo qaybin karo aluminium aan la samaynin, aluminium (oo ay ku jiraan taarikada aluminium, strips aluminium, profiles aluminium, foils aluminium, iwm, inta badan semi- alaabta la dhammeeyey), alaabta biraha aluminium iyo kuwa kale. 2017, dalkaygu wuxuu dhoofiyay 4.79 milyan oo tan oo aluminium ah, korodhka 4.5% sanadka. Iyada oo u dhiganta celceliska qiimaha FOB ee dhoofinta ee US$2805.8/ton, celceliska khidmadaha ilaa qiimaha barta LME waa US$1,200/ton, celceliska heerka khidmadduna waa 74%. Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, mugga dhoofinta aluminium ee waddankayga ayaa si degdeg ah u koray iyada oo la ballaarinayo awoodda wax soo saarka aluminiumka aasaasiga ah, iyo isbeddelka kobaca asal ahaan waa isku mid. 2017, mugga dhoofinta aluminium ee dalkaygu wuxuu ka badnaa laba jeer in ka badan 2011, isagoo gaadhay 4.79 milyan tan, qiimaha dhoofinta ayaa gaadhay 13.9 bilyan. Doolarka Tan iyo 2012, dhoofinta aluminiumku waxay had iyo jeer ku xisaabtameen 13% -15% wax soo saarka aluminium aasaasiga ah, taas oo ah mid deggan.

Waxyaalaha uu dalkaygu dhoofiyo ee aluminiumka inta badan waxa ka mid ah strips aluminium, ulaha aluminium iyo foils aluminium. Kuwaas waxaa ka mid ah, taarikada aluminium iyo strips waxay ku xisaabtamaan 40% wadarta guud ee dhoofinta, aluminium profiles ul aluminium ayaa xisaabiya 30%, aluminium aluminium xisaabiyaa 25%, iyo noocyada soo haray ayaa xisaabiya wadar ahaan 5%. Marka loo eego aragtida taariikhiga ah, saamiga qaybintani asal ahaan waa mid xasilloon, laakiin tan iyo 2017, saamiga taarikada aluminium iyo xargaha ayaa kordhay ilaa 50%, iyo saamiga aluminium profiles ayaa si weyn hoos loogu dhigay. Qaab dhismeedka gobolku wuu xoogaystay, iyadoo Maraykanka iyo Fiyatnaam ay ku xisaabtamayaan qayb aad u saraysa. Saamiga dalkaygu u dhoofiyo aluminium ee suuqa ganacsiga caalamiga ah waa uu kordhayey sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya, oo hadda kor u dhaafeysa 50%. 2016, 18% wax soo saarka aluminium ee dalkayga ayaa loo dhoofiyay Waqooyiga Ameerika, 10% waxaa loo dhoofiyay Yurub, 37% waxaa loo dhoofiyay Bariga Aasiya iyo Koonfur Bari Aasiya. Marka la eego wadamo kala duwan, labada goobood ee ugu muhiimsan ee dhoofinta aluminium ee dalkayga ee 2016 waxay ahaayeen Vietnam iyo Maraykanka, kuwaas oo ka dhigan 14.6% iyo 13.6% wadarta dhoofinta, siday u kala horreeyaan. 15-ka waddan ee ugu sarreeya dhoofinta waxay ahaayeen 66% wadarta dhoofinta. Qaab dhismeedka dhoofinta gobolku waa mid kooban.

Marka loo eego qaabka qaabka dhoofinta alaabooyinka kala duwan, meelaha ugu muhiimsan ee noocyada kala duwan ee dhoofinta aluminiumku way kala duwan yihiin. Marka loo eego aragtida 2016, meesha ugu muhiimsan ee dhoofinta aluminium iyo profiles ul waa Vietnam. 2016, dalkaygu wuxuu dhoofiyay 510,000 ton oo aluminium ah iyo profiles usha Vietnam, taas oo ah 10 jeer mugga dhoofinta ee booska labaad ee Filibiin; Maraykanka iyo Koonfurta Kuuriya waa dalkayga Meelaha ugu muhiimsan ee dhoofinta aluminiumka iyo xariijimaha, 2016, waddankaygu wuxuu u dhoofiyay 360,000 tan oo aluminium ah iyo xariijimaha Maraykanka iyo 110,000 tan oo loo dhoofiyay Kuuriyada Koonfureed; Maraykanka iyo Hindiya ayaa ah meelaha ugu muhiimsan ee laga dhoofiyo aluminium aluminium ee waddankeyga. Sannadkii 2016, dalkaygu wuxuu u dhoofiyay Maraykanka 168,000 oo tan oo aluminium ah. Waxay u dhoofisay Hindiya 127,000 oo tan. Guud ahaan, meelaha dhoofinta ee saddexda nooc ee ugu muhiimsan ee alaabta aluminiumku waa kuwo kooban.

Go'aaminta Warshadaha: Siyaasadda + Faafinta + Alaabta

Dhoofinta guud ee aluminium iyo alaabteeda dalkayga waxa loo qaybin karaa afar marxaladood oo taariikhi ah: marxaladii bilawga ahayd ee ka horaysay xiisadda dhaqaale ee caalamiga ah ee 2008 (kahor 2008), taas oo lagu gartaa isbedbedelka qiimaha iyo korodhka gaabis ah ee mugga dhoofinta; iyo heerka soo kabashada degdega ah ka dib xiisadda dhaqaale (2009-2010), muuqaalka ugu muhiimsan waa kor u kaca qiimaha degdega ah ee ay la socdaan qiimaha badeecadaha, iyo kobaca degdega ah ee mugga dhoofinta; marxaladda balaadhinta joogtada ah ka dib xiisadda dhaqaale (2011-2015), muuqaalka ugu muhiimsan waa dayactirka qiimaha xasilloon, mugga Iyada oo korodhka joogtada ah ee baahida aluminium; iyo muddada dhow ee hoos u dhaca qiimaha iyo heerka qiyaasta (2016-present), gelitaanka 2017, celceliska qiimaha dhoofinta aluminium iyo alaabteeda dalkayga ayaa kordhay, mugga dhoofinta ayaa ahaa mid deggan. Sababtu waxay tahay marka laga soo tago isbeddellada dhaqaale ee macroeconomic iyo sahayda iyo baahida badeecadaha badan, dhoofinta aluminium ee waddankeygu waxaa inta badan saameeya siyaasadaha, kharashyada, qaab dhismeedka badeecada, iyo qiimaha dheeriga ah. Falanqaynta isbeddelada saddexdan arrimood waxay gacan ka geysan doontaa fahamka suuqa dhoofinta aluminium ee waddankayga. Sababaha taariikhiga ah iyo saadaalinta isbeddellada mustaqbalka.

Iyada oo ay saamaysay siyaasadda dhoofinta, aluminiumka waddankayga iyo alaabtiisa waxaa inta badan laga dhoofiyaa aluminium. 2005, dalkaygu wuxuu joojiyay 8% canshuur celinta dhoofinta aluminiumka aan shaqaynin wuxuuna kor u qaaday qiimaha dhoofinta 15% ee 2016. 2008, si kor loogu qaado kalsoonida dhoofinta aluminiumka, dalkaygu wuxuu dib u bilaabay canshuur celinta dhoofinta aluminiumka wuxuuna kor u qaaday heerka canshuurta ilaa 13%. Waxay kicisay wareegii koowaad ee kobaca degdega ah ee suuqa dhoofinta aluminiumka. Laga soo bilaabo 2008 ilaa 2009, saamiga dhoofinta aluminium ee dalkaygu si weyn ayuu kor ugu kacay ilaa 60%.

Waqtigan xaadirka ah, ku dhawaad ​​​​dhammaan alaabooyinka aluminium ee dalkayga marka laga reebo aluminium aluminiumku waxay ku raaxaystaan ​​​​13% dhoofinta qiimaha lagu daray canshuur celinta, iyo dhammaan alaabooyinka aluminiumka ah waxay ku raaxaystaan ​​​​15% dhoofinta qiimaha canshuur celinta, mana jiraan wax canshuur ah oo dhoofin ah. Siyaasadda dhoofinta doorbidida waa mid ka mid ah qodobbada ugu muhiimsan ee taageeraya koritaanka aluminium dhoofinta waddankeyga muddo dheer. Marka la eego in warshadaha alaabooyinka aluminiumku ay hadda ku jiraan cadaadiska qashinka, iyo faa'iidada saafiga ah ee dhoofinta waxay ku jirtaa 10%, canshuur celinta dhoofinta ayaa asal ahaan ku jirta xaalad aan faa'iido lahayn ka dib markii la baabi'iyay canshuur celinta dhoofinta. Waxa la filayaa in siyaasadda dhimista cashuurtu ay sii socoto muddada gaaban. Isla mar ahaantaana, sida waddankayga nooca ugu xoogga badan ee baaritaanka ganacsiga iyo ciqaabta, dhoofinta aluminiumka alaabooyinka waxaa si weyn u saameeya siyaasadaha ka hortagga qashinka dibadda. Laga soo bilaabo 2015, Maraykanka, Australia, India iyo dalal kale ayaa si weyn u kordhiyey inta jeer ee bilaabista baaritaannada ganacsiga iyo ciqaabta alaabooyinka aluminium ee Shiinaha, iyo noocyada alaabooyinka la daboolay waxay noqdeen kuwo ballaaran. Taariikh ahaan, markii Maraykanku uu sameeyay tallaabooyin ka hortag ah oo ku saabsan aluminium profiles gudaha Shiinaha 2011 oo uu bilaabay baaritaan ku saabsan ganacsiga foil aluminium ee dalkayga 2017, alaabada Shiinaha ayaa ka dhigan in ka badan 65% saamiga suuqa soo dejinta gudaha, taas oo muhiim u ah. Aluminium-ka dalkaygu waxa uu u dhoofiyaa wadamada la beegsanayo muddada gaaban. Dhammaan waxay yeesheen saameyn gaar ah. Waxaa ka mid ah, ka-hortagga qashinka ee 2011 waxay si toos ah u keentay 38% hoos u dhac ku yimid mugga dhoofinta alaabada aluminium ee Shiinaha iyo Maraykanka. Mugga dhoofinta ee alaabta aluminium ee dalkayga ayaa sii kordheysa isla waqtigaas wax soo saarka aluminiumka. Laga soo bilaabo 2011, mugga dhoofinta aluminium ee billaha ah iyo saamiga wax soo saarka ayaa isbeddelay inta u dhaxaysa 7% iyo 10%. Isbeddelka ayaa si weyn u saameeya kala duwanaanshaha qiimaha gudaha iyo dibadda, taas oo iyana saameynaysa qiimaha qiimaha iyo tartanka suuqa ee dhoofinta aluminium. Qiimaha wax soo saarka ee aluminium ee dalkayga waxaa lagu go'aamiyaa qiimaha aluminium aasaasiga ah iyo kharashka wax soo saarka aluminium. Waagii hore, kharashyada wax-ku-soo-saarku waxay ahaayeen kuwo labaad oo aan wax badan iska beddelin. Sidaa darteed, qaar ka mid ah shirkadaha Shiinaha ee leh awoodda wax-soo-saarka kor iyo hoosba, kharashyada wax-soo-saarka aluminiumka ayaa inta badan lagu go'aamiyaa Qiimaha wax-soo-saarka aluminium aasaasiga ah ayaa la go'aamiyaa. Labadii sano ee la soo dhaafay, faa'iidada kharashka ayaa yaraatay sababtoo ah kor u kaca joogtada ah ee qiimaha dhuxusha gudaha.

Qaab dhismeedka badeecada iyo qiimaha lagu daray ayaa saameyn go'aan ku leh xasiloonida qiimaha alaabta aluminium iyo faa'iidada shirkadaha wax soo saarka. Inta lagu jiro qiimo-dhaca renminbi, qiimaha aluminiumku wuxuu hoos u dhacay ilaa xad. Marka la eego noocyada, kala duwanaanta qiimaha alaabta aluminium ee kala duwan iyo isbeddelkooda isbeddelka qiimaha way kala duwan yihiin. Iyadoo la eegayo qiimaha qiimaha RMB ee aluminiumka la dhoofiyo ee qiimaha SHFE, waxaa la ogaan karaa in tan iyo 2017, sababta ugu weyn ee hoos u dhaca qiimaha dhoofinta aluminiumku waa hoos u dhaca degdega ah ee qiimaha alaabta laftiisa. Markasta oo ay sare u kacdo qiimaha lagu daray badeecada, ayaa hoos u dhigaysa dareenka qiimaha iyo isbedbeddelka. Inta yar. Marka la eego xaashida aluminiumka iyo xariijinta, laga bilaabo xogta dhoofinta waddankayga ee Maraykanka, qiimaha dheeraadka ah ee waddankeyga dhoofinta tooska ah ee xaashida aluminium iyo xariijin waa mid hooseeya. Sannadkii 2016, Maraykanku wuxuu soo dhoofiyay 38% wadarta guud ee aluminium saxan iyo xariijimo laga keeno Shiinaha. Ka mid ah shanta waddan ee ugu sarreeya marka loo eego mugga soo dejinta sanadkaas, celceliska qiimaha CIF ee saxanka aluminiumka iyo xariijimaha laga keeno Shiinaha ayaa ahaa kan ugu hooseeya oo kaliya US $ 2,265 / ton. Celceliska celceliska qiimaha CIF ee xaashida aluminiumka iyo xariijimaha la soo dejiyay ee Maraykanka sanadkaas wuxuu ahaa US$2,730/ton, kaas oo ahaa 18% ka hooseeya. Sannadkii 2016, Maraykanku ka soo dhoofiyay aluminium aluminium ka Shiinaha ayaa xisaabiyay 66% wadarta guud ee aluminium-ka soo dejinta sanadkaas. Waxaa ka mid ah shanta waddan ee ugu horreeya soo dejinta, qiimaha birta aluminium ee Shiinaha ayaa ahaa mid hooseeya, kaliya kala bar kan Kanada iyo Awstaria. Marka la eego aluminium profiles, 2016, Maraykanku si toos ah uga soo dhoofiyo aluminium profiles dalkayga kaliya ayaa lagu xisaabiyay 3% wadarta guud ee soo dejinta, iyada oo celcelis ahaan qiimaha US $ 4,794 / ton, uu ka sarreeyay celceliska US $ 3,944 / ton. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, iyada oo la tixgelinayo in tiro badan oo aluminium ah oo laga soo dhoofiyo dalkayga Vietnam dib loo dhoofiyo suuqa Maraykanka, celceliska qiimaha aluminium profiles ee Maraykanku ka keeno Vietnam waa kaliya US $ 2943 / ton, taas oo ah US $ 1,000 / tan ka hooseeya celceliska qiimaha. Inkasta oo aan la hubin in Shiinaha Saamiga badeecadaha, laakiin waxaa hubaal ah in badeecadaha Shiinaha ay weli ku jiraan aagga qiimaha jaban ka dib markii dib loo dhoofiyo ganacsiga.

Japan sidoo kale waa mid ka mid ah meelaha ugu muhiimsan ee aluminiumka waddankeyga iyo alaabtiisa. Sida laga soo xigtay xogta soo dejinta ee Japan, 2016, soo dejinta aluminium profiles iyo aluminium strips ee Shiinaha ayaa xisaabay wax aan ka badnayn 15% wadarta guud ee la soo dhoofiyo sanadkaas. Labadan shay, alaabada Shiinaha waxay leeyihiin faa'iidooyin qiimo cad. In ka badan 75% foil aluminium ee Japan laga keeno waxay ka timaadaa Shiinaha, celceliska qiimaha kastamka ee aluminiumka Shiinaha ee laga keeno waa wax ka yar kala badh badeecadaha Kuuriya ee la soo dhoofiyo, taas oo ah 1/7 oo keliya alaabada Mareykanka ee la soo dhoofiyo, taas oo asal ahaan ku jirta heerka hooseeya. suuqa.

Dadaallada ka-hortagga qashin-qubka ayaa sii xoogaystay, dhoofinta muddada-gaaban ayaa laga yaabaa inay saamayso ilaa xad

Bishii Maarso 2018, madaxweynaha Mareykanka Trump ayaa ku dhawaaqay hirgelinta canshuur cusub oo birta iyo aluminium ah, isaga oo qorsheynaya inuu ku soo rogo 25% tacriif ah birta dibadda laga keeno iyo 10% canshuur aluminium ah ee dibadda laga keeno. Taariikh ahaan, bishii Abriil 2011, Maraykanku wuxuu bilaabay inuu ku soo rogo waajibaadyo ka-hortagga qashin-qubka iyo waajibaadka ka-hortagga ah ee aluminiumyada waddankayga laga keeno, iyo wax-soo-saarka waddankayga ee baararka aluminiumka iyo ulo-u-samaynta ee Maraykanka ayaa asal ahaan istaagay. Qiyaastaani waxay sidoo kale sababtay wadarta guud ee Shiinaha ee aluminium u dhoofinta Maraykanka ee 2011 inay hoos u dhacdo 38% sanadka marka la barbardhigo 2010. Ma ahayn ilaa 2013 in wadarta guud ee aluminium ee dalkaygu u dhoofiyo Maraykanka uu dib u bilaabay koritaanka. Tallaabooyin taxane ah oo dhawaantan dhacay ayaa ujeeddadoodu tahay in la ilaaliyo cadaadiska sare ee astaanta aluminium ee waddankayga. Laga soo bilaabo 2009, wadamada reer galbeedka oo ay matalaan Maraykanka, Midowga Yurub iyo Australia waxay si joogto ah u bilaabeen baaritaannada ka hortagga qashinka iyo kabidda kabidda ee alaabta aluminiumka ah ee loo dhoofiyo waddankayga, inta badan waxaa lagu beegsanayaa aluminium extrusions, taayirrada aluminium iyo alaabta kale. Laga soo bilaabo 2015, tirada wadamada ka qaybqaata ka-hortagga qashinka iyo baaritaannada kabidda kabidda ee alaabta aluminium ee Shiinaha ayaa kordhay, noocyada alaabooyinka la daboolay ayaa sidoo kale balaariyay. Dhacdooyinka ugu muhiimsan waxaa ka mid ah: 2015, Hindiya waxay bilowday baaritaan ka dhan ah qashinka aluminium ee Shiinaha, waxayna samaysay xukun kama dambays ah March 2017. Waxaa lagu talinayaa in lagu soo rogo xukun kama dambays ah oo ku saabsan alaabta Shiinaha ee kiiska ku lug leh, waxaana lagu talinayaa. in lagu soo rogo canshuur dhan US$0.69-US$1.63 alaabta Shiinaha ee kiiska ku lug leh. /Kg oo ah ka hortagga qashinka. Dhamaadkii 2016, Hindiya waxay ahayd waddanka labaad ee dhoofinta aluminiumka ugu weyn, iyo dhoofinta aluminiumka aluminium ee Hindiya waxay ka dhigan tahay 12% wadarta guud ee aluminium dhoofinta waddankeyga sanadkaas. Hirgelinta waajibaadka ka hortagga qashinka ayaa kordhin doona qiimaha ugu dambeeya ee aluminiumka Shiinaha ee laga dhoofiyo Hindiya 27% ilaa 62%, taas oo la filayo inay si weyn u wiiqdo faa'iidada qiimaha hadda iyo saamiga suuqa ee alaabta Shiinaha.

Siyaasadda cusub ee canshuurta birta iyo aluminium ee Mareykanka ayaa cadaadis sare ku haysa muuqaalada aluminiumka Shiinaha. Sannadkii 2015, Maraykanku wuxuu xukumay 33.28% guud ahaan xad-dhaafka guud ee astaanta aluminium ee waddankayga. Dhamaadkii 2016, waxay xukuntay in 9 shirkadood oo ku lug lahaa kiiska lagu soo rogay canshuur sare oo ka hortagga qashinka ah 86.01%. 2017, waxay sidoo kale go'aamiyeen in ay sii wadi doonaan canshuurtooda ku saabsan aluminium aluminium ee Shiinaha inta lagu jiro dib u eegista baaritaannada dhaawaca warshadaha. Tallaabooyin ka-hortagga qashin-qubka iyo ka-hortagga hadda. Isla mar ahaantaana, tan iyo 2017, South Korea iyo Brazil ayaa sidoo kale ku biiray safka loogu talagalay baaritaanka ka hortagga qashinka ee alaabta aluminium ee Shiinaha, iyo noocyada alaabooyinka ayaa sii daboolay aluminium taarikada sawirada hore loo daboolay, qalabka wax lagu kariyo aluminium, giraangiraha aluminium aluminium iyo alaab kale. . Bishii Ogosto 2016, Australiya waxay bilawday baaritaan laba-laaban ah oo ku saabsan soo dejinta alaabada aluminium ee Malaysiya iyo Vietnamese. Go'aanka hordhaca ah ayaa la sameeyay bishii Oktoobar 2016, waxaana xukunka ugu dambeeyay la sameeyay Juun 2017. Waxaa ka mid ah, baaritaanka Shirkadda Aluminium ee EastAsia, MienHua Precision Mechanical, iwm. ee Vietnam Shirkadaha Shiinaha ay maalgeliyaan waxay sameeyeen heerar kala duwan oo ka hortagga qashinka qashinka. go'aaminta, ku lug leh noocyo badan oo badeecooyin ah sida profile ul aluminium, strips aluminium iyo foils aluminium, iyo saameyntu waxay noqon kartaa ilaa 10,000 tan.

Marka la eego dhinaca taariikhiga ah, siyaasadihii hore ee ka hortagga qashin-qubka iyo ka-hortagga ayaa saamayn weyn ku yeeshay mugga dhoofinta dalkayga iyo saamiga dalalka la beegsanayo, celcelis ahaan in ka badan 30%. Muddada gaaban, wareeggan dadaallada ka-hortagga qashin-qubka waxay kordhin doontaa daboolida aagag kala duwan iyo tiro badan oo badeecado ah. Waxa la filayaa in ay saamayso ilaa 360,000 tan oo xaashi aluminium ah oo si toos ah xadhiga uga bixi doonta, oo ay ku jiraan ilaa 500,000 oo tan oo ganacsi dib u Dhoofin ah, cadadka ku lug lehna waa US$1.5 bilyan. Waxay yeelan doontaa saameyn xun oo gaar ah oo ku saabsan dhoofinta aluminium ee laga bilaabo 2018 ilaa 2019. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, iyada oo la tixgelinayo in yaraanta aluminiumka caalamiga ah ee hadda jirta ay adag tahay in la yareeyo muddada gaaban, iyo xaashida aluminiumka ee tooska ah iyo dhoofinta dhoofinta Maraykanka ayaa inta badan ah xaashida baabuurta. , kaas oo lagu xisaabtamayo qayb sare oo ah wadarta guud ee la soo dejiyo (in ka badan 40%), saamaynta mugga dhoofinta iyo qiimaha dhoofinta ayaa la filayaa in ay xadidan tahay. .

Korodhka qiimaha korontadu + farqiga qiimaha oo yaraada, faa'iidooyinka aluminiumka hooseeya ayaa hoos u dhacaya

Qiimaha wax soo saarka ee aluminium ee dalkayga waxaa lagu go'aamiyaa qiimaha aluminium aasaasiga ah iyo kharashka wax soo saarka aluminium. Kharashka habayntu waa labaad oo wax yar baa iska beddela. Sidaa darteed, qaar ka mid ah shirkadaha Shiinaha ee leh awoodda wax soo saarka ee kor iyo hoosba, kharashka wax soo saarka aluminiumka waxaa inta badan lagu go'aamiyaa qiimaha wax soo saarka ee aluminium aasaasiga ah. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, qiimaha aasaasiga ah ee wax soo saarka aluminium ee dalkaygu wuxuu leeyahay khasaare qaab dhismeedka, wayna adagtahay in la taageero qiimaha hoose muddo dheer. Gaar ahaan, kharashka wax soo saarka ee aluminium aasaasiga ah ee dalkaygu wuxuu leeyahay sifooyinka soo socda. Sida laga soo xigtay xogta Bloomberg, 2017, qiimaha isticmaalka koronto ee shirkadaha aluminiumku wuxuu ahaa celcelis ahaan 2700 yuan / ton (ama US$ 400 / ton) oo ka sarreeya kan korontada is-bixiya. Qiimaha korontada ee shirkadaha aluminium ee Shiinaha ah ee isticmaala korontada iskood u shaqeysta waxay xisaabiyaan kaliya 31% kharashaadka lacagta caddaanka ah, halka kuwa isticmaala korontadu ay yihiin 5%. Sidoo kale, shirkadaha aluminium ee isticmaala koronto iskood u bixiya waxay leeyihiin celcelis ahaan faa'iido guud oo ah 3,115 yuan / ton si ay u soo saaraan aluminium aasaasiga ah sanadka 2017, halka shirkadaha isticmaala korontadu aysan lahayn wax faa'iido leh. Marka la barbar dhigo dalalka kale iyo gobollada kale ee adduunka, isticmaalka tamarta halkii ton of aluminium electrolytic ay soo saaraan shirkadaha Shiinaha aluminium waa 13,600 kilowatt-saacadood oo kaliya, taas oo ah heerka ugu fiican ee dunida, inta badan ay sabab u tahay awoodda cusub ee wax soo saarka gudaha. Kharashyada korantada ayaa xisaabiya 35% -40% ee qiimaha wax soo saarka ee aluminium elektrolytic ah. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, 30% ka mid ah aluminiumka Electrolytic ee Shiinaha waxaa lagu soo saaraa koronto, shirkadaha aluminium ee Shiinaha ee adeegsada koronto waxay leeyihiin kharashyada ugu sarreeya adduunka. Shirkadaha aluminium ee isticmaala koronto iskood u shaqeysta ayaa faa'iido yar ka leh Yurub iyo Mareykanka celcelis ahaan, laakiin waxay la mid yihiin kuwa Bariga Dhexe. Saamiga ayaa weli leh faraq weyn. Marka loo eego qiyaasaha Rusal, qiimaha koronto ee shirkadaha aluminium ee Shiinaha si ay u soo saaraan 1 tan oo aluminium electrolytic ah ayaa ku saabsan US $ 900, oo ka dhigan 50% qiimaha LME ee hadda, halka kharashka Kanada iyo dalalka Khaliijka laga yaabo inuu ka yaraado US. $350. Intaa waxaa dheer, faa'iidada qiimaha hore ee shirkadaha aluminium ee Shiinaha 'koronta ay iskood u bixiyaan waxay ka timid dhuxusha jaban. 2016, oo ay ku riixday hoos u dhigista awoodda dhuxusha, qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa kor u kacay, taas oo si weyn u riixday qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ee korontada iskeed u taageerta. Korodhka qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa la filayaa inuu kor u qaado qiimaha korontada. Marka la eego labada cadaadis ee hoos u dhigaya awoodda wax soo saarka dhuxusha iyo horumarinta ilaalinta deegaanka, kor u kaca kharashka tamarta ayaa noqon doona isbeddel. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, wax-soo-saarka aluminium ee waddankaygu wuxuu leeyahay laba ilood oo koronto oo keliya: tamarta biyaha iyo kuleylka. Celceliska qiimaha korontadu waa 0.2 yuan/kWh. Marka la barbar dhigo qiimaha tamarta kulaylka ee iskeed u bixisay ee hadda ah 0.3 yuan/kWh, waxay leedahay faa'iidooyin muuqda, laakiin saamiga ayaa yara hooseeya. Waa 10%

In ka badan 90% alumina-yada laga isticmaalo dalkaygu waa kuwo iskood wax u soo saara, wax ka yar 10% ayaa la soo dhoofiyaa. Suuqa gudaha, waxaa jira farqi yar oo u dhexeeya qiimaha aluminiinta maxalliga ah iyo aluminiinta dibadda laga keeno. Celcelis ahaan, qiimaha aluminiinta heerka kowaad ee laga keeno Dekadda Qingdao waa 100 yuan-200 yuan/ton oo kaliya ayaa ka sarreeya aluminiinta heerka koowaad ee gudaha. Marka la barbardhigo qiimaha alumina ee dalkayga laga soo bilaabo 2010 ilaa 2015 qiimaha iibka alumina ee shirkadaha waaweyn ee aluminium ee adduunka, waxaa la ogaan karaa in qiimaha alumina ee gudaha uu ka sarreeyo celceliska qiimaha alumina ee Alcoa iyo Rusal US $ 60-US $ 100 / tan. Dhanka bauxite, wakhtigan xaadirka ah 45% bauxite-ka dalkaygu waxa lagu helaa soo dejinta, laakiin celceliska qiimaha wax soo dejinta waxa uu ka sarreeyaa celceliska qiimaha suuqa gudaha US$15/ton. Waxaa qiyaas ahaan loo xisaabiyaa iyadoo lagu salaynayo soo saarista 1 tan oo aluminium elektaroonig ah 5 tan oo bauxite ah, halkii ton. Qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ee aluminium elektrolytic ah ayaa kordhay US$75/ton. Guud ahaan, wax soo saarka aluminium ee Shiinaha ayaa leh dhaqaale miisaan leh waxayna leedahay faa'iidooyin isticmaalka tamarta unugga, laakiin kor u kaca qiimaha tamarta iyo cadaadiska deegaanka ayaa sii kordhin doona kharashka wax soo saarka. Shirkadaha aluminium ee Bariga Dhexe iyo Kanada waxay ilaalin karaan xasilloonidooda qiimaha waxayna ka faa'iideysan karaan daciifinta faa'iidada qiimaha alaabta Shiinaha sababtoo ah faa'iidooyinka qaabdhismeedka qiimaha.

Qiimaha tamarta ee kor u kaca awgeed, faa'iidada wax soo saarka aluminiumka aasaasiga ah ee Shiinaha ayaa daciiftay. Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, iyadoo kororka joogtada ah ee wax soo saarka aluminium aasaasiga ah ee dalkayga, isbeddelka isbeddelka qiimaha aluminium ee gudaha iyo dibadda ayaa noqday mid aad iyo aad u badan. Mustaqbalka fog, farqiga qiimaha u dhexeeya SHFE iyo LME way adag tahay in si heer sare ah loo ilaaliyo, iyo daaqadda garqaadashada baaxadda weyn ee dhoofinta waa xaddidan tahay. Iyadoo la tixgelinayo in labadaba hoos u dhaca sarifka lacagaha iyo kororka kharashka tamarta ay horseedi doonaan hoos u dhac ku yimaada faa'iidooyinka dhoofinta gudaha ee alaabooyinka aluminiumka, heerka sarrifka 6.5 iyo kororka kharashka tamarta ee 10%, alaabooyinka leh kharashka wax-qabadka. in ka badan US$755/ton waxay leeyihiin faa'iido la isku halayn karo iyo faa'iidooyin dhoofinta

Ku xir maqaalkan ： Khilaafaadka ganacsiga waxay saameeyaan dhoofinta aluminium muddada-gaaban

Bayaanka Dib u Daabacaadda: Haddii aysan jirin tilmaamo gaar ah, dhammaan maqaallada ku yaal boggan waa kuwo asli ah. Fadlan tilmaan isha dib-u-daabacaadda:https://www.cncmachiningptj.com

PTJ® waa soo-saare habaysan oo bixisa baararka naxaasta oo kala duwan, qaybo naxaas ah iyo qaybo naxaas ah. Nidaamyada wax soo saarka ee caadiga ah waxaa ka mid ah faaruqinta, dhejinta, naxaasta, adeegyada silig edm, xoqin, foorarsi iyo foorarsi, xanaaq, kulul abuurna iyo riixid, daloolin iyo feeray, dunta rogmanaysa oo rujinaysa, xiirid mashiinada dunta badan, extrusion iyo biraha been abuurka iyo xarig. Codsiyada waxaa ka mid ah baararka baska, kirishbooyada korontada, fiilooyinka coaxial, waveguides, qaybaha transistor-ka, tuubooyinka microwave-ka, tuubooyinka caaryada maran, iyo budada budada haamaha extrusion.

Wax yar nooga sheeg miisaaniyadda mashruucaaga iyo wakhtiga keenista ee la filayo. Waxaan kula xeeladeyn doonaa si aan kuu bixinno adeegyada ugu qiimaha badan si ay kaaga caawiyaan inaad gaarto yoolkaaga, waxaa lagugu soo dhaweynayaa inaad nala soo xiriirto si toos ah ( sales@pintejin.com ).